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Archive for July 30th, 2010

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The Gamblers Fallacy

Whether you are a new player or an old player, somebody who was been around since the Stone Age or somebody who’s first roulette spin was on the internet. There is something you need to know, this one thing single handedly defeats online roulette players.

The one thing that I’m talking about is known as The Gambler’s Fallacy. The Gambler’s Fallacy has been tricking players into making bad bets for centuries, possibly longer than that. If you take your money seriously you must be constantly vigilant against The Gambler’s Fallacy.

In a nutshell The Gambler’s Fallacy is the false belief that past events will influence future events when in reality they do not. An example would be that many players think that if the ball lands on red five times in a row that they should bet on black since it is bound to land on black sooner than later.

The idea that the roulette table has some sort of memory and makes things balance out is entirely false. The roulette table does not care about what the last spin was, and before every spin the odds are reset to what they normally are.

What makes The Gambler’s Fallacy so deadly is that if somebody who is not versed in mathematics looks at a simple version of the odds it would appear that there is no fallacy. The math would indicate that no such fallacy exists.

To demonstrate what I mean I’ll give you two examples, one example showing why it might look like there is no fallacy. I will then give another example going deeper into the odds to show that The Gambler’s Fallacy exists for a reason.

Imagine that there is no zero at an online roulette table. This would mean that there is a 50% chance of landing on black, now the odds of a ball landing on black twice in a row is smaller than 50%, and the odds of it landing on black three times in a row is even smaller. So on the surface it looks like the more times it lands on black the less likely it is to land on black again. However if you look deeper the odds of the ball landing on black three times and then red one time matches up with the odds of the ball landing on black four times.

There is no reason that The Gambler’s Fallacy should destroy your bankroll. However it will as soon as you let it. If you want to do well at online roulette you must take this threat seriously otherwise it could completely and utterly destroy you.

It doesn’t matter what system you use, it’s important that you play Online Roulette at the best casinos. The best casinos are the ones with the fast pay out times, one of them is Bet365 Casino

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Record companies have apparently found a new tactic to cash in on royalties. As we are well aware, at first these businesses sued individual users who illegally downloaded music. But this approach to collecting money in order to recover from major financial loss has destroyed their public image.

Rather than lowering the cost of albums in order to compete with free music circulating through the internet, record companies have turned to collection agencies who are now suing cellphone companies over royalties from ring tones. They contested that ring tones counted as public performances and therefore cell phone companies should be obligated to pay performance fees. The courts quickly shot this down.

Despite this unfruitful endeavour to collect on royalties, Broadcast Music Inc is now suing T-Mobile over ring back tones, alleging that the mobile carrier is selling them without licensing agreements. Unlike ring tones, which play publically when someone calls, ring back tones are only heard specifically by the person calling. Instead of hearing a cellphone dialing, the caller will hear a song that was chosen by the cell owner.

Cynics are quickly to point out the seeming irony of this lawsuit. Ringtones which can be heard by anyone around a cellphone do not count as a public performance, so it seems ridiculous to sue the mobile carriers over a ringback tone that can be heard solely by the caller. The music industry, suffering from major financial losses, seems to be grasping at straws in order to collect any money that they possibly can.

It does not appear that lowering the cost of CDs, DVDs and other media is an plan that has occurred to the music industry. There are still quite a few fans out there that prefer to collect and own the actual products, but with prices constantly spiking, downloading music for free seems very appealing. Many CDs generally go on sale for about seventeen dollars.

A few bands have bypassed the issue of free music downloads through creative tactics. Radiohead, an alternative rock band, built a website where fans can obtain the mp3s for free, or for a donation. Nine Inch Nails’ Trent Reznor made a similar site. The music industry’s unsuccessful lawsuits and declining public image leads one to believe that thinking outside of the box and lower pricing may be more effective than bullying money out of mobile carriers and individual users.

Mallory Megan works for a debt collection company. She also composes articles on business, finance, the credit industry and collection agencies. Unique version for reprint here: Record Companies Are Now Suing Mobile Carriers For Royalties.

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Private jet charters have their need among those between celebrities and average folk. This would include medium business owners, for example. The problem is that they are much too expensive for normal means of buying, unless of course fractional ownership is investigated.

Buying in a fraction of a jet is a lot like buying a stock. You will essentially own a share of the jet, and have a say in who uses it, why, and when. If you can find a company that manages the relationship between you and other investors, all the better the relationships will be. You can expect to get the jet plane according to a set schedule, or according to a certain amount of hours as set by the company.

Even if you need out of the ownership, there is usually a clause that states you are able to do so. A minimum commitment is required, but after this period, you are free to liquidate your share in the private jet charter. Whether you or the company handles it is the question of course. If the company handles it, doesn’t settle for anything less than fair market value if you are able to.

Companies that can guarantee availability are the best to side with. Essentially, the company will find a different jet for you if the one you have ownership in is taken. Companies that do this will find either a jet that is on par with the one you have ownership in, or a better one. It’s like buying a coach ticket and flying first class- anything is possible!

Find out about all fees before signing the papers. This can’t be stressed enough, as there will still be periodic fees for the maintenance of the jet. The massive amount of money it takes to finance these operations will be considerably less since you only own a fraction of the jet, but be aware that there are still fees. Keep some room in your budget to pay them upfront after finding out the estimated costs.

Press the charter company for every detail possible in regards to what you can or can’t do. While it will all be outlined in your contract, odds are that the company won’t go over everything with you unless you specifically ask. It might also help to find a lawyer, or find a previous client that has signed a contract- perhaps a friend or family member. Ask them how they felt about the contract and service.

In Conclusion

Private jet ownership schemes are the perfect solution to a problem where budgets are concerned. Private jets are much too expensive for the average Joe to rent one out, but thanks to modern ownership methods, almost anyone can get a piece of the pie.

Learn more on California airports and Florida airports.

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